Last year was a
good one for
whales and whale watchers.

That’s when the Monterey Bay and Northern California in general began to see an unprecedented amount of whale activity, particularly from humpbacks. The trend hasn’t shown signs of slowing.

“Over the last couple of weeks there’s been a definite increase in whales, especially blue whales,” says Ashley Englehart, naturalist with SF Bay Whale Watching in Sausalito. “There are more protections in place than ever before, including ships slowing down. The water has also been warmer, which increases the food in the water, so more whales have been coming up to eat.”

It’s not just the humpbacks that have been active. There have been reports about flocks of pelicans in the tens of thousands. All of this activity has led ocean watchers to wonder what the heck is going on. Is this normal? And is it going to continue? Unfortunately, as is often the case with science, there are no easy answers, but scientists do have some intriguing leads.

One of the reasons we are seeing more whales is simply that there are more whales in general. “When I started doing this in the late ’80s, there were only 400 humpbacks,” says Nancy Black, a marine biologist and owner of the whale-watching company Monterey Bay Whale Watch. “But since they’ve been protected, their numbers have increased over the years by 6 percent a year. There are about 2,500 [now].”

But what has been remarkable about this year is that the humpbacks have been sticking around for so long. Typically, they come into shallow waters, eat up what is here, then move on to other feeding spots. These past 12 months, the whales have been more concentrated and slower to move on.

That leads us to the next reason we have seen so many humpbacks: anchovies.

The last year has seen huge numbers of anchovies. The spawn of anchovies is likely related to a 25-year oscillation between anchovies and sardines, a phenomenon that has been catalogued by Francisco Chavez of the Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute. Every 25 years, the California coast fluxes between a “sardine regime” and an “anchovy regime.” During a “sardine regime,” there are historically tons of sardines, warmer ocean temperatures off the coast of California and fewer nutrients in the water. An anchovy regime, which we entered at the beginning of the new millennium, is typified by the opposite: cooler water, more nutrients and tons of anchovies.

But in fact, the ocean hasn’t been cold. It’s actually been warmer than average. The warmer waters may be related to a strange wind pattern. Starting in the spring, the winds usually blow from the northwest, causing an upwelling of deeper, colder waters. We had a windy spring, like normal, which likely began the upwelling of these colder waters. These northwest winds usually continue, but not this summer. Instead, we saw lots of south winds, which bring warmer water.

It’s hard to get a clear answer on why the southern winds blew during the summer, because no one really seems to know. “It’s incredibly complex,” said Santa Cruz–based researcher Jodi Frediani. “What I do know is the scientists don’t fully understand it.”

The theory about wind patterns is speculation, and we are likely years away from really understanding what has been going on in the atmosphere. Some scientists are even critical of Chavez’s theory about sardines and anchovies. His data goes back only a hundred years, and older records of marine sediments tracing back thousands of years suggest that there were times when both groups were in high populations.

It’s hard to say if any of this can really be considered “normal,” especially because populations of many marine animals are still recovering from being heavily hunted and fished.

FORECLOSURE FALLOUT

“Racial disparities exist” is the troubling conclusion of a just-released housing study that Fair Housing of Marin took part in, with the National Fair Housing Alliance.

Their findings? Banks and property preservation companies don’t keep up their foreclosed properties in black and Latino communities—and in these parts, that means Vallejo.

The report, released last week, details racial disparities in the maintenance of houses owned by banks after the financial crash. The study spanned 30 metro regions in the country and found that they don’t cut the grass or secure the windows or doors or remove the trash in black or Latino neighborhoods the way they do in the white ones.

The Marin County group studied shuttered and foreclosed homes in Vallejo and Richmond, and found a mess. “Neighbors are alternately furious and discouraged about the poor maintenance,” said Fair Housing of Marin executive director Caroline Peattie in a statement. “They found it peculiar that the same bank that foreclosed on the home next door was now dragging property values down on the entire block because the bank was not maintaining the property.”—Tom Gogola

A LIVING WAGE

A coalition of labor, faith, environmental and other Sonoma County community groups presented a “living wage” ordinance at a Monday press conference that it plans to deliver to the county board of supervisors this fall. The groups also presented economic analysis of the wage hike.

Led by North Bay Jobs with Justice, the proposed ordinance calls for boosting the pay of all workers employed by the county, county contractors and private employers receiving public funds to $15 an hour. If adopted, the ordinance would cover about 5,000 low-wage workers in the county.

“This has been coming for some time now,” says Marty Bennett, co-chair of North Bay Jobs With Justice. “We feel there are three votes on the board of supervisors, but we hope to get everyone.”

Three cities in the county—Petaluma, Sebastopol and Sonoma—have already adopted similar ordinances and, according to a study conducted by Political Economy Research Institute economist Jeannette Wicks-Lim, the increased wage would have a significant impact on the lives on county workers but a minimal one on county coffers and local businesses.

“The living wage ordinance will impose a relatively modest cost increase for covered businesses, typically in the range 0.2 percent to 4.5 percent of their total revenue, depending on their industry,” says the fiscal impact report. “Costs transmitted to the county will be smaller still, equal to less than 0.03 percent of the county’s total budget of $1.4 billion or 0.1 percent of
the county’s general fund of $390 million for (fiscal year) 2014–15.”

The state’s current minimum wage is $9 an hour. At that rate, a full-time worker earns $18,720 annually. According to Wicks-Lim’s analysis, this leaves a gap of nearly $50,000 between what the worker earns and the $66,800 that the average three-person family living in Sonoma County would need to cover its basic expenses. Increasing the hourly wage to $15 would come close to closing that gap, the report says.

Nationally, 140 cities and
counties have implemented similar living wage ordinances.
—Stett Holbrook